UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
TPS vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
TPS
2 - 0
HAK
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
LIS
2 - 3
TPS
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 3
TPS
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2008 |
FCL
4 - 1
TPS
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
TPS
0 - 0
IFK
53%
23%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
LIS
2 - 3
TPS
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 2
LIS
20%
23%
58%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LIS
0 - 1
DON
66%
22%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
LIM
1 - 2
LIS
19%
23%
59%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |