TPS vs KaPa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
7º
4º
18
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 52 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 50 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 45 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 22 |
9º
|
90% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
TPS
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
JIP
2 - 0
TPS
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TPS
4 - 0
JAP
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
KOO
1 - 2
TPS
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TPS
2 - 3
SAL
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
KaPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
KER
2 - 0
KAP
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 5
KOO
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KER
4 - 0
KAP
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 4
JIP
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
MIK
2 - 6
KAP
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |