TPS vs KaPa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
2º
8
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 44 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 36 |
2º
|
68% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 33 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 29 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 23 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 21 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 18 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 12 |
9º
|
68.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 8 |
10º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
68% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 19.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
KER
0 - 3
TPS
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
PK3
1 - 1
TPS
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TPS
1 - 0
MIK
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
KAK
0 - 4
TPS
11%
18%
70%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TPS
0 - 2
FFJ
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
KaPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KAP
3 - 3
JAP
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FFJ
4 - 2
KAP
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 1
SAL
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
PHU
0 - 7
KAP
11%
14%
76%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PK3
3 - 0
KAP
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |