TPS vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KPV
0 - 0
TPS
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
EKE
2 - 1
TPS
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
TPS
2 - 1
JAP
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ILV
2 - 0
TPS
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PII
0 - 4
TPS
11%
20%
69%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KUO
1 - 0
ILV
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ILV
2 - 1
INT
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 1
ILV
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
HIF
1 - 2
ILV
17%
20%
62%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ILV
2 - 0
TPS
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |