TPS vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
TPS
1 - 4
IFK
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
KUO
2 - 1
TPS
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
TPS
3 - 0
FFJ
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
MYP
2 - 2
TPS
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
TPS
2 - 2
INT
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
AIF
2 - 3
ILV
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
KAK
0 - 3
ILV
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
FCR
1 - 2
ILV
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 0
ILV
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
ILV
2 - 0
FCS
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |