TPS vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
INT
1 - 2
TPS
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1996 |
TPS
1 - 0
FCJ
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1996 |
TPS
1 - 0
HJK
44%
26%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1996 |
FFJ
2 - 0
TPS
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
HJK
3 - 4
TPS
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1996 |
HJK
1 - 1
ILV
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
ILV
2 - 2
HAK
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1996 |
MYP
1 - 0
ILV
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1996 |
ILV
0 - 0
FIN
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
INT
1 - 2
ILV
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |