TPS vs IFK Mariehamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
TPS
2 - 0
INT
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
TPS
1 - 0
HAK
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
IFK
3 - 0
TPS
35%
26%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
INT
0 - 1
TPS
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KUO
2 - 0
TPS
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
IFK
0 - 3
INT
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
HAK
2 - 2
IFK
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
INT
5 - 0
IFK
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
IFK
0 - 1
HAK
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
IFK
3 - 0
TPS
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |