Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-2
TPS vs Cercle Brugge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
TPS
1 - 1
HAK
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
CER
0 - 1
TPS
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 3
TPS
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
POR
0 - 4
TPS
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
TPS
0 - 1
HJK
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cercle Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
CER
0 - 1
TPS
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GEN
3 - 0
CER
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CER
1 - 1
LOK
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
KVC
4 - 1
CER
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
CER
2 - 1
KVM
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |