Confederation Cup Final
Global 2-1
TP Mazembe vs SuperSport United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
TPM
2 - 0
EKA
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FUR
0 - 0
TPM
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TPM
1 - 0
FUR
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TPM
5 - 0
OBA
90%
8%
2%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
OBA
1 - 2
TPM
5%
13%
82%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
SuperSport United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
SSU
3 - 0
GOL
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BLO
2 - 2
SSU
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CLU
1 - 3
SSU
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MPU
1 - 1
SSU
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SSU
1 - 1
CLU
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |