CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
TP Mazembe vs Séwé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SEW
2 - 1
TPM
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TPM
0 - 0
DAU
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TPM
3 - 0
LES
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LES
1 - 1
TPM
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TPM
2 - 0
SAI
64%
21%
14%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Séwé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ASE
1 - 0
SEW
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
DEN
0 - 2
SEW
41%
30%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SEW
2 - 1
TPM
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
JCA
0 - 3
SEW
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SEW
0 - 0
TAN
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |