TP Mazembe vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAI
0 - 0
TPM
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ALH
0 - 0
TPM
10%
18%
72%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LUB
1 - 3
TPM
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
TPM
0 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -9 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SIM
0 - 0
TPM
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 5
SUN
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 0
BAR
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 0
ALH
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 2
SFC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHI
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |