TP Mazembe vs Ismaily analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
TPM
3 - 0
ASD
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
NDB
0 - 2
TPM
10%
28%
62%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MBL
1 - 3
TPM
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
DAU
0 - 0
TPM
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MUU
1 - 2
TPM
10%
25%
65%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ismaily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ELD
0 - 0
ISM
28%
29%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
MOK
1 - 2
ISM
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
RCA
0 - 0
ISM
55%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
ISM
1 - 2
EEE
56%
26%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HEL
1 - 0
ISM
19%
28%
53%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |