TP Mazembe vs Heartland Owerri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
ITT
0 - 0
TPM
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TPM
1 - 0
ITT
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
1 - 2
TPM
40%
25%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TPM
3 - 0
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
ALH
2 - 2
TPM
20%
22%
58%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Heartland Owerri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
NIG
1 - 0
HEA
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
HEA
2 - 1
KAN
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
HEA
3 - 0
ZAM
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
HEA
3 - 0
KAD
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
HEA
1 - 0
SUN
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |