TP Mazembe vs Renaissance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
TPM
3 - 0
JSK
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
TPM
1 - 0
USP
64%
21%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LUB
0 - 3
TPM
31%
29%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
GBA
1 - 1
TPM
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TPM
2 - 0
SIM
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Renaissance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
SAI
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
REN
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
TSH
0 - 2
REN
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
ASK
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
REN
2 - 2
MAN
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |