TP Mazembe vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAI
0 - 0
TPM
47%
29%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
TPM
5 - 0
LUB
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
TPM
3 - 0
GBA
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TPM
4 - 0
TSH
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 1
TPM
41%
31%
28%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 0
ETO
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ETO
4 - 1
OLY
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ETO
4 - 3
FCH
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ETO
3 - 0
ASD
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
EGS
1 - 1
ETO
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |