CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
TP Mazembe vs Djoliba AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DJO
0 - 1
TPM
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TPM
5 - 0
SAI
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
TPM
3 - 3
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
TPM
2 - 0
APR
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
TPM
5 - 2
VEC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Djoliba AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DJO
0 - 1
TPM
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
LAL
1 - 1
DJO
39%
24%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DJO
1 - 0
LAL
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AAB
0 - 0
DJO
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
DJO
1 - 0
AAB
40%
25%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |