TP Mazembe vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
TPM
1 - 2
POH
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
TPM
1 - 0
HEA
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
HEA
2 - 1
TPM
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TPM
0 - 2
ALH
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ALH
2 - 5
TPM
18%
22%
60%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
AUC
0 - 3
ATL
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
AHD
0 - 2
AUC
64%
18%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 1
AUC
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 1
WAI
55%
22%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 1
AUC
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |