TP Mazembe vs Real Bamako analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 0
TPM
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VCL
2 - 1
TPM
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
REN
0 - 0
TPM
28%
28%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TPM
3 - 1
DBL
50%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
TPM
0 - 0
GBA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
ASR
31%
30%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ASR
1 - 0
USF
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
BAM
0 - 3
ASR
30%
31%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
ASR
1 - 1
DJO
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ASR
2 - 0
KOR
40%
30%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |