CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
TP Mazembe vs Al-Merreikh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TPM
1 - 0
SAI
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VCL
2 - 2
TPM
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SLU
1 - 3
TPM
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TPM
6 - 0
POW
87%
10%
3%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
POW
1 - 1
TPM
15%
24%
62%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Merreikh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 1
WAD
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
JAZ
0 - 3
ALM
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 0
ALM
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 0
FCP
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 2
KHA
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |