TP-47 vs Kuopion Elo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
7º
3º
23
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP-47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
JBK
3 - 0
TP4
29%
21%
50%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SJJ
2 - 0
TP4
40%
21%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OPS
1 - 1
TP4
47%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 0
TP4
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TP4
6 - 1
GBK
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Kuopion Elo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
JPS
2 - 2
KUO
21%
20%
59%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OTP
1 - 2
KUO
52%
20%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 2
JBK
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FCM
4 - 1
KUO
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 0
OLS
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |