Township Rollers vs Police XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
5º
4º
40
4º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Township Rollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TOW
2 - 0
MOG
70%
16%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
TOW
0 - 1
POL
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
TOW
3 - 0
EXT
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 1
TOW
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
SES
2 - 2
TOW
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Police XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
EXT
50%
25%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
TOW
0 - 1
POL
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SES
1 - 0
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NOT
0 - 4
POL
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
GAL
3 - 0
POL
57%
24%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |