Township Rollers vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Township Rollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
TOW
1 - 0
GAL
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
HGH
0 - 4
TOW
31%
23%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
VTM
0 - 4
TOW
30%
22%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TOW
1 - 1
ORA
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GAB
2 - 0
TOW
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
EAN
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
BOT
3 - 1
MOW
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 1
BOT
55%
23%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SES
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |