Tours U19 vs Guingamp U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
13º
12º
29
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 62 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 44 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 44 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 38 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 37 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 33 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 28 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
12º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 19 |
13º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
14º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BER
4 - 1
TOU
25%
20%
55%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 0
TOU
72%
16%
13%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 0
LAV
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
TOU
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 0
SRS
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 1
GUI
36%
25%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
SRS
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
REN
0 - 0
GUI
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
SCB
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAN
3 - 1
GUI
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |