Tours II vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 2
TOU
46%
21%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 0
CAE
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
UJA
1 - 1
TOU
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TOU
6 - 0
DRO
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
OIS
3 - 1
TOU
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 4
OIS
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
STP
1 - 0
BOU
51%
24%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BOU
0 - 2
AVR
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LMU
0 - 1
BOU
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BOU
3 - 1
AUB
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |