Tours II vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 2
LMU
24%
24%
51%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 0
TOU
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 2
CHO
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
4 - 3
TOU
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
AVO
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
SEL
1 - 5
BOU
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BOU
3 - 1
LPV
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
COU
2 - 0
BOU
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 0
BRC
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CSL
1 - 1
BOU
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |