Tours vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 0
TOU
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
TOU
0 - 2
ROD
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CON
0 - 0
TOU
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
TOU
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
TOU
1 - 2
PAU
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
USB
0 - 0
VIL
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
PAU
3 - 1
USB
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
USB
0 - 0
LMU
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 1
USB
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
USB
4 - 0
AVR
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |