Tours vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ORL
1 - 0
TOU
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 2
TOU
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 0
AJA
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
NIO
0 - 2
TOU
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 5
ASN
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
NIO
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
AMI
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
BOU
0 - 0
STR
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
STR
2 - 0
ASN
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
STR
4 - 0
SED
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |