Tours vs USM Saran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TOU
1 - 1
TOU
8%
18%
74%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TOU
3 - 2
CHA
88%
10%
2%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ORL
2 - 4
TOU
9%
18%
73%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 1
TOU
6%
17%
77%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TOU
3 - 2
CHA
88%
10%
3%
|
55 | 21 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 3
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
SAR
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 1
AVO
42%
23%
36%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
VIE
3 - 1
SAR
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 0
DRO
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |