Tours vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
TOU
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
TOU
4 - 2
ARL
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
MET
1 - 1
TOU
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TOU
2 - 0
GUI
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
MET
2 - 1
TOU
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 1
NÎM
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
NAN
31%
29%
41%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
NAN
2 - 1
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 2
NAN
33%
29%
39%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
NAN
5 - 0
IST
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |