Tours vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1985 |
PSG
2 - 0
TOU
75%
15%
9%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
TOU
1 - 1
BRE
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
NAN
4 - 0
TOU
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
TOU
0 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1985 |
LIL
3 - 0
TOU
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1985 |
ASN
2 - 2
FCR
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
ASN
2 - 1
LEN
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
MET
2 - 2
ASN
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
ASN
1 - 1
AUX
44%
26%
29%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1984 |
ASN
2 - 0
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |