Tours vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
TOU
2 - 1
ANG
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
SED
1 - 0
TOU
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 1
ANG
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
NÎM
2 - 3
TOU
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
TOU
0 - 1
DIJ
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
LHA
5 - 4
MET
45%
25%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
ETG
4 - 3
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
MET
3 - 0
NÎM
59%
26%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
IST
2 - 3
MET
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
MET
2 - 0
LHA
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |