Tours vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1984 |
AUX
1 - 0
TOU
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1984 |
TOU
2 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1984 |
TOU
2 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1984 |
GIR
2 - 1
TOU
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1984 |
TOU
2 - 3
PSG
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
SGD
3 - 1
MET
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1984 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1984 |
GIR
6 - 0
MET
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
MET
2 - 1
PSG
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
FCB
1 - 4
MET
82%
13%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +2 |