Tours vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
DIJ
2 - 0
TOU
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
TOU
2 - 2
IST
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
ASN
2 - 3
TOU
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
CLE
0 - 1
TOU
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
NÎM
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 1
LUS
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LHA
6 - 2
LEN
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 0
TRO
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
LEN
3 - 4
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
STL
0 - 2
LEN
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |