Tours vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
CLE
2 - 1
TOU
42%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 2
MON
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
ANG
0 - 1
TOU
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 0
ARL
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 0
TOU
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
IST
2 - 4
ANG
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
IST
2 - 2
NAN
30%
29%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 1
IST
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
IST
2 - 3
DIJ
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
LHA
2 - 0
IST
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |