Tours vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 1
STL
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
NÎM
1 - 1
TOU
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 1
CAE
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
SED
1 - 1
TOU
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
TOU
2 - 1
CLE
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 0
IST
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
IST
0 - 0
CLE
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
IST
1 - 0
SED
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
NÎM
1 - 0
IST
63%
21%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
IST
0 - 3
AUX
24%
27%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |