Tours vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
LEN
3 - 0
TOU
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
TOU
4 - 1
ARL
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 0
TOU
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
TOU
0 - 0
STL
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
TOU
67%
22%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
STL
1 - 2
GUI
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 2
GUI
27%
29%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 0
ANG
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 2
GUI
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |