Tours vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1991 |
TOU
1 - 0
TFC
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
RED
1 - 2
TOU
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1985 |
STL
3 - 1
TOU
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1985 |
TOU
1 - 0
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1985 |
RAC
3 - 1
TOU
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1991 |
OLY
0 - 0
FCG
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
FCG
1 - 1
CHA
81%
12%
7%
|
56 | 21 | 35 | 0 |