Tours vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
IST
2 - 1
TOU
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
TOU
2 - 1
FCG
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
STR
2 - 1
TOU
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
TOU
1 - 1
GRE
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 1
TOU
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
CAE
4 - 0
NIO
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
MET
2 - 0
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
LHA
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
CAE
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
CAE
3 - 1
AMI
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |