Tours vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1983 |
GIR
1 - 0
TOU
67%
19%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1983 |
TOU
1 - 0
FCM
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
NAN
2 - 1
TOU
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
TOU
1 - 2
ASN
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
LEN
2 - 1
TOU
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUX
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1983 |
SOC
2 - 1
BAS
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 1
STR
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1983 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
BAS
0 - 3
MET
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |