Tours vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
LYO
2 - 3
TOU
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
TOU
1 - 0
ASN
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
NIC
2 - 2
TOU
71%
17%
11%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1981 |
TOU
0 - 1
GIR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 1
TOU
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 2
NÎM
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
STL
3 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 1
LEN
51%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1981 |
NAN
2 - 1
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
SOC
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |