Tours vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
49.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
TOU
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
TOU
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 2
NAN
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
DIJ
1 - 0
TOU
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
TOU
3 - 3
LHA
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
AUX
2 - 1
DIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
AUX
2 - 1
STL
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
LMU
3 - 1
AUX
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 0
SED
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
AMI
1 - 2
AUX
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |