Tours vs Panazol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
10º
3º
36
5º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CSL
0 - 2
TOU
11%
21%
68%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SBM
1 - 4
TOU
15%
18%
67%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 0
TOU
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 0
VSF
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
TOU
16%
22%
63%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Panazol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
CHA
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 2
PAN
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 1
CHA
80%
13%
8%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
PAN
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
BOU
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |