Tours vs Montlouis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.5%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
2.8%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
41
4º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CSL
1 - 2
TOU
7%
18%
75%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
TOU
28%
24%
47%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TOU
3 - 2
ORL
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TOU
1 - 2
CHA
89%
9%
3%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
TOU
0 - 0
TOU
8%
17%
76%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Montlouis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ORL
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
AVO
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
MON
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
CSL
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
BOU
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |