Tours vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
TOU
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
TRO
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
LHA
2 - 2
TOU
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
LUS
56%
22%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
TOU
2 - 2
AUX
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
ARL
2 - 1
LUS
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 2
ARL
33%
29%
39%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ARL
1 - 1
STL
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARL
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
ARL
3 - 0
ANG
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |