Tournai vs Union Rochefortoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
10º
9º
27
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 44 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 31 |
5º
|
68% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 29 |
6º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 26 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 25 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 24 |
9º
|
46.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 21 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 20 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 13 |
12º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tournai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
RCS
1 - 2
TOU
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 1
TOU
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
BIN
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
TOU
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 0
SGI
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Union Rochefortoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 1
BIN
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ROC
0 - 3
NAM
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RCS
0 - 0
ROC
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 3
ROC
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 0
STL
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |