Tourizense vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
TOU
54%
25%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
POM
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOU
32%
25%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 0
NAV
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 1
TOU
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
NAV
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
OLI
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
POM
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PAM
1 - 0
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |