Tourizense vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 0
TOU
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
ADN
48%
24%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPC
3 - 1
TOU
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 0
TOU
78%
16%
7%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 0
MAN
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 6
PAM
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 0
ADM
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 2
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
ADN
55%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
SOU
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |