Tourizense vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
70.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 4
PRA
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ADN
1 - 1
TOU
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ACA
4 - 1
TOU
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 0
ANG
23%
25%
53%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
TOU
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
OPE
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 0
OLI
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAL
13%
18%
68%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
IDE
3 - 0
OPE
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 0
PAM
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |