Tourizense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
ADN
3 - 1
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 2
NAV
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TOU
3 - 1
ADM
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
TOU
41%
25%
33%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
TOU
3 - 0
MAN
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAN
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 2
NAV
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAM
3 - 1
NAV
22%
23%
56%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NAV
3 - 3
ADM
73%
17%
9%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 2
NAV
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |