Tourizense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
61.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
SER
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
TOU
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 2
TOU
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 0
TOU
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
SOU
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
PAM
75%
17%
9%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
NAV
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 1
NAV
23%
26%
52%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADN
76%
16%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
0 - 0
NAV
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | -1 |